Economy of Scale

The same bottle holds many variations

In this era of mass customization, it is still possible to take picture of an army of similar product marching to market. In the selected picture you cannot see the label. You do not realize that many variations have proliferated, until you try to find your favorite formulation by searching among the ranks of less popular flavors remaining on the store shelves. Mass customization still has its economic limitations. You can have a wider variety of bottle contents but an economical packaging line needs a common bottle shape.
Old ways of looking at manufacturing still cling on. I know of many vehicle part suppliers who are still looking for a 300,000 part per year job with a 5 year lifespan to bid on. On the other side of the table is the OEM manufacturers who cannot find suppliers to build the multi- flavored parts for their 30,000 per year models at the high volume price they expect. The challenge is still capital investment. The historic production equipment concepts that were optimized to produce identical parts at rapid rate. just don’t match the current market demand. This viewpoint puts all of the foot dragging on the part supplier side. The OEM manufactures who wish to purchase competitively price parts, must also tune their designs to minimize the cost of tooling the new generation. This is especially true in an era where the marketplace is demanding a radially different product. Massive amounts of capital investment are needed to create radically different product.
Tesla is the #1 value US car company using market capitalization as the measure. This investor assessment has occurred even though the model S sells at an estimated $4000 per vehicle loss even at its high price. I am not surprised. In my small world, they asked if I knew of a supplier who could sell them a sand cast gear case at a cost that would apply to a high volume case. Could not help them. A high volume low cost gear case has a different design that requires retesting. The real test is whether they can pull off a high volume model at mass market pricing.
No, the correct solution to this problem does not involve moving production to Asia. A subsidized selling price, as a ruse to steal your manufacturing technology, is a very short sighted solution. The savvy planners take advantage of the programmed flexibility within the new generation of manufacturing equipment. Segeo Shingo asserted when he explained his SMED (Single Miniute Exchange of Die) concept. “You will not be tempted to build inventory if you can change from manufacturing one flavor to the next in less than a minute” As I began this post talking about our historical bias, we all picture swapping massive stamping dies in and out of a press. The reality as it exist in the new vehicle parts that I am launching, involves program swaps in the computer controlled 3D printers and welding robots. Yes, SMED applies. The production equipment switches from one part flavor to the next in less than a minute. It is now a software swap instead of a 30 ton die swap. The vehicle design and business plan must evolve to match. It is only possible to invest in the new generation of production equipment if multiple part volume is bundled into packages that represent enough sales volume to fund the purchase of equipment that flexibly makes them all.

Maps

Military Bases have intimidating guard houses


Every form of new map technology has the funny stories to go with it. Map Blast comes to mind. Armed with a printed set of directions, I set out to visit one of my client tool shops in Oak Ridge Tennessee. The town of Oak Ridge is surrounded by the government atomic energy reservation that figured heavily in the development of the Atomic bomb. Just because roads are visible in the satellite images does not mean that they are available for public use. When the fences with barbed wire tops became 10 ft tall and a suburban with blacked out windows pulled in front and behind me, it became apparent that I chose the wrong route. Fortunately the guards thought it was funny when I showed them the Map Blast directions. Human editing of the embedded Map Blast maps saves current travelers this embarrassment.
When we say the word map, many people think of the folded street route maps that inhabit the glove boxes of our cars. Even though most people now use mobile based route directions, the old fashioned printed map can guide us home when the other technology fails.

Smart Loader

Autonomous vehicles also need to use maps. In their case the maps takes an electronic form. In the buildings that these vehicles inhabit there are pitfalls. Having designed many pit covers I make this assertion literally. Pit covers that look the same on the top can be designed to carry pedestrian traffic. lift truck traffic and even train traffic. An accurate map is needed to keep the autonomous vehicle from falling into pits, running over cords, creating traffic jams, endangering pedestrians and damaging the vehicle itself. This does not discount the sensors onboard that can detect a “bridge” that is out Human intervention is usually needed to create a revised map showing alternate routes. This is currently painfully obvious in Atlanta where we need to bypass a damaged main interstate bridge. Similar disruption occurs when we need to map alternate routes for autonomous vehicles. An efficiency penalty is expected.