Chaos

We live in a time of chaos

We live in a time of chaos

“There are some times when you can predict weather well for the next 15 days. Other times, you can only really forecast a couple of days. Sometimes you can’t predict the next two hours.”
DJ Patil, 37, an expert in chaos theory

The current business climate, it turns out, is a lot like the weather. In a time of chaos, predicting what will happen next has gotten exponentially harder. Uncertainty is universal in boardrooms and cubicles, as executives and workers (employed and unemployed) struggle to plan what they should do. I have a daughter who is entering the workforce. How can I tell her what to get into when all of my accumulated experience cannot answer that question for myself? And even if my vision is good enough to know what the current options are, I am certain that the season will quickly change and a different normal will emerge. I was discussing this with my wife, a start-up entrepreneur. She pointed out that the majority of people need a pattern to guide their life. Serious strife and unrest occur when a sizable percentage of the population does not know how to acquire a living wage. All of the A/B testing that we accomplish as start-up businesses establish which applied efforts are profitable in the emerging marketplace. As these get built into the standard work instructions that are part of our manufacturing legacy, the world seems a lot less scary to the typical employee. Most employees need a detailed blueprint of the activities that add up to earning a living wage.
Your gyro-copter is perfectly safe in the hanger at the airport. Heading out on the runway exposes you to the unseen wind vortexes lurking in ambush.

Turbulence in the tip vortex NASA Langley Resarch Center

Turbulence in the tip vortex NASA Langley Resarch Center

My best friend would not have ventured out into the chaos of a jet vortex, if he could have predicted the shift of winds that caused it to hover over the runway. As we integrate drones into our lives, they are also buffeted by the same fickle winds. In this time of chaos, it will take time to acquire the experience needed to create the new business patterns to guide us around the pitfalls.
Charles Darwin foreshadowed periods of chaos when he described natural selection: “It is not the strongest of the species that survives; nor the most intelligent that survives. It is the one that is most adaptable to change.”

Modern Boar Hunting

"Catch Dogs (boar hunting)" by Tacosunday

“Catch Dogs (boar hunting)” by Tacosunday

The hunting of wild boar is an activity that comes to us from the middle ages. Wild Boar and their domesticated offspring hogs have been a staple human food. Animals were released into the forest and left to fend for themselves such that they could be hunted during the winter. Europeans moving to the new world brought this practice with them. Feral pigs were released into the wild in the US. Like many invasive species they thrived because they have no natural enemies. In US states such as Florida and Texas the feral pig population is growing in spite of our best efforts to cull a few hundred thousand animals per year. The intelligence of the animals is thwarting our efforts. Pigs travel in groups of about 15 called sounders. Due to the cooperation within the groups, traditional control methods such as trapping only catch a subset of the group leaving the rest to repopulate with their high birth rate. It is not about how many animals we cull. It is about
how many we miss and allow to go free.
Every problem is also an opportunity. Just as the buffalo were hunted to near extinction to feed the workers building the transcontinental railroads, the feral pigs could be harvested to feed the hungry in America. It just takes the technology to do it. Enter a commercial use for a drone.
A sentry needs a birds eye view

A sentry needs a birds eye view

Unlike humans, sentry drones on solar powered charging platforms guarding the perimeter of our farms do not have gaps in their vigilance. Infrared cameras extend their surveillance to the night. As we are able to add more embedded computer intelligence to drones, it should be possible to emulate the ability of hunt dogs and herd the animals into traps or pens. In the overpopulated regions only trapping results in animals that can be used in our food chain due to rapid spoilage.
I am a firm believer that new technology will be adopted in a somewhat disruptive fashion. Technology like electric drones will open the door to new uses like sentry duty that historically were unaffordable.